Home TOP TRENDS UK inflation unexpectedly jumps to 3.6% to highest rate in year and a half

UK inflation unexpectedly jumps to 3.6% to highest rate in year and a half

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UK inflation unexpectedly jumps to 3.6% to highest rate in year and a half

UK inflation hits highest for almost a year and a half

6 minutes ago

Getty Images Two women in sunglasses shopping at an outdoor market, standing a rack of clothes including patterned yellow shorts.Getty Images

Prices rose by more than expected to 3.6% in the year to June, the steepest rise in inflation since January 2024, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said.

That marks a rise from the 3.4% rate in May, boosted by higher food prices and a lower drop in fuel prices than this time last year.

The rate at which prices increase matters to shoppers, whose money doesn’t go as far if goods and services are becoming rapidly more expensive.

Inflation remains much higher than the Bank of England’s target rate of 2%, but a cut in the cost of borrowing is still expected at next month’s rate-setting meeting.

The pace of price rises affects whether the Bank decides to raise or lower interest rates as higher rates can slow inflation by dampening economic activity.

The faster pace of price rises for June was unexpected, with economists having predicted the inflation rate would stay at 3.4%.

Richard Heys, acting chief economist for the ONS, the UK’s official statistics authority, said one of the main drivers was that fuel prices fell only slightly between May and June this year, compared to a larger fall in the same period last year.

Average wages have risen over the past year, by 5.2%, suggesting many people will not be worse off.

However, shoppers are more affected by rising prices for daily staples such as food and petrol.

Food prices rose at a rate of 4.5% – the highest rate since February 2024 but well below the peak seen two years ago.

Food industry representatives said food price rises were due to manufacturers facing higher costs for key ingredients – such as chocolate, butter, coffee and meat – as well as higher energy and labour costs.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves said she knew people were “still struggling with the cost of living” but said the government’s plans included putting “more money into people’s pockets”.

A line chart showing the UK Consumer Price Index annual inflation rate, from January 2020 to June 2025. In the year to January 2020, inflation was 1.8%. It then fell close to 0% in late-2020 before rising sharply, hitting a high of 11.1% in October 2022. It then fell to a low of 1.7% in September 2024 before rising slightly again. In the year to June 2025, prices rose at 3.6%, up from 3.4% the previous month.